Mega Millions Winning Numbers & Jackpot Analysis
Last updated: December 27, 2025 (updates after every new draw)
Latest Mega Millions winning numbers, jackpot analysis, and strategy guide
Content powered by Lucky Picks, the smart lottery analytics platform – Always check if the current jackpot has a positive estimated Expected Value (EV) on average before you play.
See the official Mega Millions site.
Mega Millions Latest Results
Latest Draw
Dec 26, 2025
Winning Numbers
Previous draw jackpot: $125,000,000
Stats & Trends
Based on past 50 draws
Hot & Cold
% recent frequencies
(theoretical odds: 7%)
% recent bonus frequencies
(theoretical odds: 4%)
Draws are independent — “hot/cold” labels describe the past and do not change next-draw odds.
Last Seen
# draws last seen
(theoretical threshold: 14 draws)
# bonus draws last seen
(theoretical threshold: 24 draws)
Draws are independent — a long gap doesn’t make a number more likely next draw.
Tens
2 – 1 – 1 – 1
recent frequency: 52%
theoretical odds: 52%
Endings
2 – 1 – 1 – 1
recent frequency: 50%
theoretical odds: 50%
High & Low
2 High – 3 Low
recent frequency: 42%
theoretical odds: 31%
Even & Odd
1 Even – 4 Odd
recent frequency: 10%
theoretical odds: 15%
Consecutive
2 – 1 – 1 – 1
recent frequency: 32%
theoretical odds: 24%
Next Draw
Dec 30, 2025
| Est. Jackpot(As Advertised) | $138M |
| Est. Cash Value(Before Taxes) | $63.3M |
| Est. Real Value (After Fed Tax) | $39.9M |
🏛️ See Net Cash Jackpot by State
| State | State Tax | Net Cash Jackpot |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Washington | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| California | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Florida | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Wyoming | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| New Hampshire | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| South Dakota | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Texas | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Tennessee | 0.0% | $39,879,378 |
| Arizona | 2.5% | $38,296,863 |
| North Dakota | 2.9% | $38,043,661 |
| Mississippi | 3.0% | $37,980,360 |
| Pennsylvania | 3.1% | $37,936,050 |
| Indiana | 3.2% | $37,834,769 |
| Virginia | 4.0% | $37,347,354 |
| Colorado | 4.0% | $37,347,354 |
| Missouri | 4.0% | $37,347,354 |
| Ohio | 4.0% | $37,347,354 |
| Michigan | 4.3% | $37,189,103 |
| North Carolina | 4.8% | $36,872,600 |
| Oklahoma | 4.8% | $36,872,600 |
| Louisiana | 4.8% | $36,872,600 |
| Illinois | 5.0% | $36,745,998 |
| Nebraska | 5.0% | $36,714,348 |
| Massachusetts | 5.0% | $36,714,348 |
| Iowa | 5.0% | $36,714,348 |
| Kansas | 5.0% | $36,714,348 |
| Kentucky | 5.0% | $36,714,348 |
| Arkansas | 5.5% | $36,397,845 |
| Georgia | 5.8% | $36,239,594 |
| Rhode Island | 6.0% | $36,087,672 |
| Vermont | 6.0% | $36,081,342 |
| New Mexico | 6.0% | $36,081,342 |
| West Virginia | 6.5% | $35,764,839 |
| Idaho | 6.5% | $35,764,839 |
| Montana | 6.9% | $35,511,637 |
| Connecticut | 7.0% | $35,454,666 |
| South Carolina | 7.0% | $35,448,336 |
| Maine | 7.1% | $35,353,385 |
| Minnesota | 7.2% | $35,290,085 |
| Wisconsin | 7.6% | $35,036,882 |
| New Jersey | 8.0% | $34,815,330 |
| Oregon | 8.0% | $34,815,330 |
| Maryland | 8.8% | $34,340,576 |
| New York | 8.8% | $34,296,265 |
| District of Columbia | 8.9% | $34,213,974 |
1 in 290,472,336
Jackpot Odds
Mega Millions Estimated EV (Expected Value) Analysis
-$4.04
Estimated EV (Expected Value)
Per $5.00 ticket average return
$5.00
Ticket Price
Cost per line/play
$2.69B
Break-even Jackpot
Jackpot needed for positive EV
📈 Estimated EV Projection
Chart shows how estimated EV changes as the jackpot grows.
💰 The “Real” Value Breakdown
| Metric | Value | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Advertised EV (Annuity) | -$3.78 | The “Advertised” value (typically paid over 30 years). |
| Cash EV (Before Taxes) | -$4.04 | The actual cash value available right now (before taxes). |
| Real EV (After Taxes) | -$4.12 | The actual bottom line. After 37% Federal Tax (State taxes vary). |
Note: State taxes vary. See the breakdown below for your state.
🏛️ Tap/Click to Expand and See EV (After Taxes) by State
| State | State Tax | Real EV (After Taxes) |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Washington | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| California | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Florida | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Wyoming | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| New Hampshire | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| South Dakota | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Texas | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Tennessee | 0.0% | -$4.12 |
| Arizona | 2.5% | -$4.12 |
| North Dakota | 2.9% | -$4.12 |
| Mississippi | 3.0% | -$4.12 |
| Pennsylvania | 3.1% | -$4.12 |
| Indiana | 3.2% | -$4.12 |
| Virginia | 4.0% | -$4.12 |
| Colorado | 4.0% | -$4.12 |
| Missouri | 4.0% | -$4.12 |
| Ohio | 4.0% | -$4.12 |
| Michigan | 4.3% | -$4.13 |
| North Carolina | 4.8% | -$4.13 |
| Oklahoma | 4.8% | -$4.13 |
| Louisiana | 4.8% | -$4.13 |
| Illinois | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Nebraska | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Massachusetts | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Iowa | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Kansas | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Kentucky | 5.0% | -$4.13 |
| Arkansas | 5.5% | -$4.13 |
| Georgia | 5.8% | -$4.13 |
| Rhode Island | 6.0% | -$4.13 |
| Vermont | 6.0% | -$4.13 |
| New Mexico | 6.0% | -$4.13 |
| West Virginia | 6.5% | -$4.13 |
| Idaho | 6.5% | -$4.13 |
| Montana | 6.9% | -$4.13 |
| Connecticut | 7.0% | -$4.13 |
| South Carolina | 7.0% | -$4.13 |
| Maine | 7.1% | -$4.13 |
| Minnesota | 7.2% | -$4.13 |
| Wisconsin | 7.6% | -$4.13 |
| New Jersey | 8.0% | -$4.13 |
| Oregon | 8.0% | -$4.13 |
| Maryland | 8.8% | -$4.14 |
| New York | 8.8% | -$4.14 |
| District of Columbia | 8.9% | -$4.14 |
Is it worth playing? Avoid
The current estimated Cash Expected Value (pre-tax) is -$4.04, meaning you can expect to lose about 4.04 on average for every ticket.
The jackpot needs to reach approximately $2.69B before the estimated EV crosses $0.
How Estimated Expected Value (EV) Is Calculated:
The expected value shown here is an estimate based on publicly available rules and historical payout behavior. It is designed to show order-of-magnitude value, not predict exact outcomes for any single draw. Actual results may vary due to changes in lottery rules, taxes, and other factors such as prize splitting.
1
Calculate prize probabilities: For each of the 9 prize tiers, we multiply the prize amount by its odds (e.g., jackpot ÷ 290,472,336).
2
Sum all prize values: We add up the value of all prizes. Crucially, we use the Cash Value of the jackpot, not the inflated annuity number.
3
Subtract ticket cost: We subtract the $5.00 ticket price to get the Cash Value EV (Before Taxes) (-$4.04).
Caveats: The headline estimated EV (-$4.04) is based on the Cash Value of the jackpot. If we used the advertised annuity, the EV would appear higher (-$3.78), but that ignores the time-value of money. The Real EV (After Taxes) (-$4.12) shown above is the most accurate measure, accounting for the lump-sum reduction and federal taxes. Variable prize tiers are modeled conservatively using historical payout distributions. Actual payouts may differ from draw to draw.
Mega Millions Fairness Score Analysis
Overall Fairness: 99/100
Composite trust score
100
Number Frequency
Chi-squared test
99
Draw Day Bias
Time anomalies test
100
Pattern Bias
Suspicious sequences test
Excellent Fairness (99/100)
Statistical analysis shows excellent randomness across all tested dimensions
Yes, you can trust them. Our analysis of recent draws shows a fairness score of 99. The numbers are distributed randomly with no detectable patterns or biases. Chi-squared tests confirm the drawing process is working as expected.
All scores are out of 100, with higher values indicating better fairness and randomness.
Number Frequency Deviation
Percentage deviation from expected frequency. Bars outside the shaded area are statistically significant.
Detailed deviation data not available
(Requires full historical analysis)
Fairness Stability Trend (P-Value)
Probability of observing these results assuming the draw is perfectly random. Values below 0.05 indicate potential anomalies.
Detailed Analysis
We have conducted a comprehensive statistical audit for Mega Millions. View the full report for detailed breakdown of frequency, temporal, and pattern biases.
How Fairness & Randomness is Tested:
1
Frequency Analysis: We count how often each number appears across the last 100 draws and compare it to expected frequency using chi-squared tests. All numbers should appear roughly equally.
2
Temporal Consistency: We analyze when numbers appear to detect time-based patterns. Random draws should show no correlation between draw dates and number frequencies.
3
Pattern Detection: We search for suspicious sequences like consecutive numbers, repeated patterns, or artificial-looking distributions that would be extremely unlikely in truly random draws.
4
Statistical Scoring: Each test produces a score from 0-100. We weight frequency analysis highest (50%), followed by pattern detection (30%) and temporal consistency (20%) to calculate the overall fairness score.
Mega Millions Trends & Pattern Strategies
Important: These pattern-based strategies don’t change your odds of winning, but many players enjoy using them as a structured approach to number selection instead of random quick picks.
Lucky Picks analyzed the last 50 Mega Millions draws to show you current trends. Play them if you like, but remember that past patterns don’t predict future results.
🔥 Hot Numbers
Mega Millions numbers that appeared most often in the last 50 draws (descriptive only).
❄️ Cold Numbers
Mega Millions numbers that appeared least often in the last 50 draws (descriptive only).
⏰ Late Numbers
Mega Millions numbers that haven’t appeared in a while (does not make them more likely next draw).
⚖️ Even/Odd Split
Most common even/odd distributions in the last 50 draws.
↕️ High/Low Split
High vs low number patterns in the last 50 draws
🔢 Tens Distribution
How numbers spread across decades (0-9, 10-19, etc.) in the last 50 draws.
🎯 Number Endings
Most frequent last digits (0-9) in the last 50 draws.
🔗 Consecutive Numbers
Numbers following each other consecutively in the last 50 draws.
💡 Pro Tip: All these charts are available in the Lucky Picks app with automatic updates after each Mega Millions draw. They’re designed for transparency and context (and to help you think about variety or prize-splitting risk) — not to claim a change in next-draw odds.
Mega Millions General Strategies
While no strategy can change the odds of winning Mega Millions (1 in 290,472,336 for the jackpot), these are proven approaches that help you play more effectively without changing the fundamental odds.
01
EV-Based Timing
If you care about value, consider playing only when the estimated Expected Value (EV) improves. Lucky Picks estimates EV and can alert you when Mega Millions jackpots reach higher estimated EV levels.
02
Lottery Pools
Share the cost, share the winnings. Pools let you buy more tickets without spending more. If you join an active Mega Millions pool, you can use the Lucky Picks app to help optimize your shared number selection.
03
Lottery Wheels
Cover more combinations with more numbers and use wheeling. For Mega Millions’s 5/70 format, wheels can guarantee lower-tier prizes if specific numbers are drawn. Access wheel generators in the app.
04
Budget Management
Set weekly or monthly spending limits and stick to them. Lucky Picks tracks your Mega Millions spending history and sends alerts when you approach your budget limits.
Mega Millions Odds & Prize Breakdown
Mega Millions has 9 prize tiers. Here’s your chance of winning each one:
Overall odds of winning any prize: 1 in 23.02
Explore more insights:
FAQ
What are the odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot?
The odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot are 1 in 290,472,336. Your overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 23.02.
When is Mega Millions worth playing?
Based on published odds and prize structure, Mega Millions’s estimated EV can turn positive when the jackpot exceeds approximately $550 million. However, even with positive estimated EV, your odds of winning remain extremely low.
How is estimated EV calculated?
Expected Value (EV) is an estimate of the average amount you can expect to win (or lose) per ticket. We calculate both Gross Annuity EV (advertised jackpot) and Net Real EV (after-tax cash value). A positive estimated EV suggests the long-run average return may exceed ticket cost, but it does not change how unlikely it is to win.
Are some numbers luckier than others?
No. Every number has an equal chance of being drawn in every drawing. Past results have no influence on future outcomes. ‘Hot’ and ‘cold’ numbers are statistical noise, not predictive patterns.
Should I play the same numbers every time?
It makes no mathematical difference. Playing the same numbers or using Quick Pick both have identical odds. The only consideration is avoiding commonly picked patterns to reduce jackpot sharing.
What’s the best Mega Millions strategy?
There’s no magical way to increase your odds. The only proven strategy to do that is to play more numbers. But the real best strategy is to treat lottery as entertainment, set a strict budget you can afford to lose, and (if you care about value) only play when the estimated expected value is positive (jackpot above $550 million). Never chase losses or spend money you need for essentials.
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